Will Sophie Adenot return to Earth and land or splash down?

91%
Stable · last 24h

46%
-9% last 24h
YES if an official meteorological observation reports a maximum wind gust of at least 60 km/h at any official station located within the administrative area of Augsburg during the match window on 10 October 2026, between 15:30 and 17:30 CEST. The primary source will be Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) station/SYNOP or equivalent official station data, and if DWD data for Augsburg is unavailable the nearest official national meteorological station within 20 km will be used. If the match is postponed or cancelled and not played at the scheduled local date and time the market resolves NO, and standard conversions apply if units differ (1 m/s = 3.6 km/h).
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 10, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 10, 2026. The outcome will be settled against wetter.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 46%, based on 497 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settled🤷♂️
No
With the match window only two weeks away, the potential for strong wind gusts is high. Expecting at least 60 km/h is reasonable given autumn weather patterns.

91%
Stable · last 24h

50%
+1% last 24h

62%
-14% last 24h

44%
Stable · last 24h

60%
+1% last 24h

86%
Stable · last 24h
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