Will any official weather station in metropolitan France record an instantaneous wind gust of at least 120 km/h?

🤖 Context

YES if, between August 30, 2026 and September 1, 2026 inclusive, Météo‑France publishes an instantaneous wind gust of at least 120 km/h from any official observation site in metropolitan France, or an equivalent gust is published by the prefecture of the affected department, or the gust is reported by at least two independent reputable news organisations, no later than September 1, 2026. If an initially reported gust is later revised downward by Météo‑France or the prefecture before the resolution date, the revised official figure determines the outcome. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 29, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 2, 2026. The outcome will be settled against tf1info.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 34%, based on 39 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

34%

Predictions made

39

Credits staked

1,079

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 29, 2026

Closes

Aug 29, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 2, 2026

Resolution source

tf1info.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 29, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 2, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 34% and NO 66%, based on 39 predictions and 1.1K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against tf1info.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will any official weather station in metropolitan France record an instantaneous wind gust of at least 120 km/h?” real-money betting?

No. “Will any official weather station in metropolitan France record an instantaneous wind gust of at least 120 km/h?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.