Will Invest 99E or the storm that forms from it make landfall on the Mexican mainland or the Baja California peninsula?

37%
-19% last 24h

78%
Stable · last 24h
Market closed. Awaiting resolution.
Results Sep 25YES if at least one official observation station located on the German North Sea coast (a station listed by the Deutscher Wetterdienst, DWD, or the Bundesamt für Seeschifffahrt und Hydrographie, BSH) records an instantaneous wind gust of at least 80.0 km/h at any time between 00:00 and 23:59:59 local time on September 24, 2026. Preferably use DWD or BSH station observation logs or daily summaries. The market may also resolve using reports from major independent news organisations that explicitly cite official station measurements.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 23, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 25, 2026. The outcome will be settled against wetter.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 78%, based on 21 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith a storm system approaching, gusts of at least 80 km/h are likely on the North Sea coast tomorrow. Reports indicate favorable conditions; it should happen.

37%
-19% last 24h

76%
Stable · last 24h

65%
Stable · last 24h

69%
Stable · last 24h

33%
-1% last 24h

30%
Stable · last 24h
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