ScienceOpened Jul 22 · Results Jul 24

Will any official AEMET station in the Comunidad Valenciana record a maximum temperature of at least 41.0 °C on July 23, 2026?

38%

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ResolvedYes

Resolved: Yes

Results Jul 24

🤖 Context

YES if the Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) official observed daily maximum temperature data published on aemet.es for the calendar date July 23, 2026 show at least one official AEMET meteorological station located within the Comunidad Valenciana with a recorded daily maximum temperature ≥ 41.0 °C. Otherwise NO. If AEMET has published no observed station data for July 23, 2026 on aemet.es by the resolution timestamp, the market resolves NO.

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How this market resolved

Yes

38%

Final crowd probability

The crowd was 62% sure, and they got it wrong.

Why: The AEMET observations page on aemet.es for the Comunidad Valenciana (k=val) includes station-by-station observed daily maximum temperatures dated "23 julio 2026". That page lists multiple official AEMET stations in Comunidad Valenciana with T. max ≥ 41.0 °C (examples shown on the page: Orihuela 41.8 °C; el Pinós/Pinoso 43.1 °C; Fontanars dels Alforins 42.4 °C; Villena 43.7 °C; Alcoi/Alcoy 43.5 °C; Jalance 42.1 °C; Zarra 41.2 °C; Bicorp 44.0 °C; Ontinyent 42.8 °C; Xàtiva 41.8 °C). Therefore AEMET published observed daily maximum temperature data for 2026-07-23 on aemet.es showing at least one station in Comunidad Valenciana with a recorded daily maximum ≥ 41.0 °C.

Source: aemet.es