Will at least one location in mainland Spain see totality during the August 12, 2026 total solar eclipse?

93%
+1% last 24h

52%
Stable · last 24h
YES if, no later than August 10, 2026, an official incident report from the fire's official Incident Command or InciWeb states that any one of the Old Trails Fire, Autumn Lane Fire, or Fairview Fire is 50% or more contained. If agencies publish conflicting containment percentages, the figure from the fire's official Incident Command or InciWeb will be used. Otherwise the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 10, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 11, 2026. The outcome will be settled against foxweather.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 52%, based on 0 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith containment figures still low, it’s looking unlikely that any of these fires will hit 50% before the deadline. Current reports don’t support a positive outcome here.

93%
+1% last 24h

43%
Stable · last 24h

20%
Stable · last 24h

24%
Stable · last 24h

74%
Stable · last 24h

31%
+1% last 24h
Cookies on Clutch
We use cookies to measure how Clutch is used and to show ads. Nothing is tracked until you choose. Privacy Policy