Will any northern Philippine province declare a formal 'state of calamity' over the monsoon rains and the two cyclones?

🤖 Context

YES if any province in the northern Philippines issues and publishes an official provincial proclamation declaring a 'state of calamity' or an equivalent legally recognized provincial emergency declaration that explicitly cites the monsoon rains and/or the two tropical cyclones referenced in the EFE article, and the proclamation is published no later than August 17, 2026. Authoritative sources are the issuing province's official website or press release, the Philippines' Official Gazette, or a national government statement. If no official posting exists, corroboration by multiple reputable Philippine news outlets such as Philippine News Agency, ABS-CBN, Rappler, Reuters, or AP is acceptable. Municipal-level emergency notices, requests for assistance, or alerts that do not constitute a formal provincial 'state of calamity' do not count.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 15, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 18, 2026. The outcome will be settled against efe.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 77%, based on 64 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

77%

Predictions made

64

Credits staked

1,330

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 14, 2026

Closes

Aug 15, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 18, 2026

Resolution source

efe.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 15, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 18, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 77% and NO 23%, based on 64 predictions and 1.3K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against efe.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will any northern Philippine province declare a formal 'state of calamity' over the monsoon rains and the two cyclones?” real-money betting?

No. “Will any northern Philippine province declare a formal 'state of calamity' over the monsoon rains and the two cyclones?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.