Will Google announce a new Pixel smartphone at its August 12, 2026 event?

93%
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44%
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YES if Google's official Pixel 11 product page or Google's official Pixel 11 launch announcement or livestream on August 12, 2026 explicitly lists at least one named non‑Pro Pixel 11 configuration (SKU) with 12 GB of RAM in the technical specifications. Otherwise NO. Ambiguous marketing language like “up to 12 GB” without an explicit mapping to a named non‑Pro SKU counts as NO, and independent corroboration from major tech outlets is allowed.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 12, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 12, 2026. The outcome will be settled against 9to5google.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 44%, based on 65 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledThe 12Go is quite common, even with the memory crisis, in the entry-level range.
With just one day left, it seems unlikely Google will explicitly confirm a non-Pro Pixel 11 with 12GB of RAM. Ambiguity in marketing won't cut it, so I doubt it will happen.

93%
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44%
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89%
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43%
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27%
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37%
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