Will any metropolitan French département be orange or red for thunderstorms on August 30?

🤖 Context

YES if Météo‑France's official Vigilance archive map for August 30, 2026 shows at least one metropolitan département, any coastal zone (littoral), or the national roll‑up FRANCE at orange (level 3) or red (level 4) for thunderstorms at any time during August 30, 2026 (local France time). Only the thunderstorms hazard counts; the wildfire product does not. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 29, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 31, 2026. The outcome will be settled against vigilance.meteofrance.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 35%, based on 99 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

35%

Predictions made

99

Credits staked

2,608

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 29, 2026

Closes

Aug 29, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 31, 2026

Resolution source

vigilance.meteofrance.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 29, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 31, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 35% and NO 65%, based on 99 predictions and 2.6K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against vigilance.meteofrance.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will any metropolitan French département be orange or red for thunderstorms on August 30?” real-money betting?

No. “Will any metropolitan French département be orange or red for thunderstorms on August 30?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.