Will any metropolitan French département be orange or red for rain‑flooding on 21 August?

🤖 Context

YES if Météo‑France's archived Vigilance map for 21 August 2026 shows at least one metropolitan French département, a coastal vigilance zone, or the national label 'FRANCE' at orange or red for rain‑flooding. Only the rain‑flooding hazard counts. If orange or red appears only for overseas territories, that does not qualify, otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 20, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 22, 2026. The outcome will be settled against vigilance.meteofrance.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 22%, based on 120 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

22%

Predictions made

120

Credits staked

4,440

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 20, 2026

Closes

Aug 20, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 22, 2026

Resolution source

vigilance.meteofrance.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 20, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 22, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 22% and NO 78%, based on 120 predictions and 4.4K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against vigilance.meteofrance.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will any metropolitan French département be orange or red for rain‑flooding on 21 August?” real-money betting?

No. “Will any metropolitan French département be orange or red for rain‑flooding on 21 August?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.