Will any metropolitan French département be on orange or red heatwave alert on August 13?

🤖 Context

YES if the official Météo‑France Vigilance archived map for August 13, 2026 shows at least one metropolitan département, coastal zone, or the national roll‑up at orange (3) or red (4) for the heatwave (canicule) hazard at any time on that date. Otherwise NO. Authoritative sources are the Météo‑France Vigilance archive or Météo‑France datasets on data.gouv.fr, and French news reports quoting Météo‑France are acceptable corroboration.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 12, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 14, 2026. The outcome will be settled against vigilance.meteofrance.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 94%, based on 56 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

94%

Predictions made

56

Credits staked

2,297

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 12, 2026

Closes

Aug 12, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 14, 2026

Resolution source

vigilance.meteofrance.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 12, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 14, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 94% and NO 6%, based on 56 predictions and 2.3K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against vigilance.meteofrance.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will any metropolitan French département be on orange or red heatwave alert on August 13?” real-money betting?

No. “Will any metropolitan French département be on orange or red heatwave alert on August 13?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.