Will any metropolitan French département be on Météo‑France Vigilance orange or red for heatwave on August 11?

🤖 Context

YES if Météo‑France's official Vigilance archived map or per‑département listing for 11 August 2026 shows at least one metropolitan French département, coastal zone, or the national roll‑up at Vigilance level orange or red for canicule (heatwave) at any time that day. NO if none are shown orange or red for canicule on 11 August 2026. Only metropolitan France counts and overseas départements do not, and if the archive is contradictory Météo‑France's per‑département listing or official communications for that date will be used, while contemporary French news reports that explicitly list départements at orange or red for canicule on that date are also acceptable evidence.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 10, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 12, 2026. The outcome will be settled against vigilance.meteofrance.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 94%, based on 144 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

94%

Predictions made

144

Credits staked

4,969

Comments

2

Opened

Aug 10, 2026

Closes

Aug 10, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 12, 2026

Resolution source

vigilance.meteofrance.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 10, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 12, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 94% and NO 6%, based on 144 predictions and 5K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against vigilance.meteofrance.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will any metropolitan French département be on Météo‑France Vigilance orange or red for heatwave on August 11?” real-money betting?

No. “Will any metropolitan French département be on Météo‑France Vigilance orange or red for heatwave on August 11?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.