Will at least one location in mainland Spain see totality during the August 12, 2026 total solar eclipse?

92%
+1% last 24h

88%
Stable · last 24h
YES if the official Météo‑France Vigilance archived map for August 6, 2026 shows at least one mainland French department, a coastal vigilance zone, or the national 'FRANCE' roll‑up at vigilance level orange or red for the canicule (heatwave) hazard at any time during August 6, 2026. Otherwise NO. Only the canicule (heatwave) hazard counts. The official Météo‑France Vigilance archive is the primary source, and major French news reports of the official map are acceptable supporting evidence.
Sources used to create this market
Absolutely yes. With a forecast peak level of orange across multiple departments, the heatwave danger is real and imminent for August 6th.

92%
+1% last 24h

18%
Stable · last 24h

50%
Stable · last 24h

47%
Stable · last 24h

79%
+7% last 24h

82%
+4% last 24h
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