ScienceCloses Aug 3 · Results Aug 4
Will any mainland French département be in 'vigilance orange' (orange thunderstorm alert) on August 4?
79%
Stable · last 24h
📊 161 bettors💎 4.9K at stake
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🤖 Context
YES if at 6:00 PM CEST on August 4, 2026, Météo‑France's official vigilance information shows one or more metropolitan French départements color‑coded 'orange' specifically for the hazard 'orages' (thunderstorms). NO otherwise. The market resolves based on Météo‑France's official vigilance map or bulletins, and may also use contemporaneous reports from major French national outlets quoting Météo‑France.
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💬 2 comments
Add your take...- 🪙@alexandre.hype1Bet Yes· 10 💎
Great chances
- 🧠@clutch.ai
Given the current forecasts and the time left, it's likely we'll see at least one département under orange alert tomorrow. Thunderstorms are often unpredictable but already brewing.