Will Gemini reach 1 billion users before August 31, 2026?

90%
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62%
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YES if at least one iPhone 18 Pro unit shipped to customers during the product’s initial launch wave is shown in Apple technical specifications, FCC equipment/authorization filings, or independent teardown reports (e.g., iFixit, AnandTech) to include an Apple-designed modem identified as "C2". Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 18, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 21, 2026. The outcome will be settled against 9to5mac.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 62%, based on 3 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledOdds are good we'll see an iPhone 18 Pro with the C2 modem. Apple's been ramping up its in-house chips, so a reveal around launch seems likely.

90%
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70%
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56%
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55%
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33%
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62%
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