Will the Falcon 9 first stage on Starlink 15-16 land successfully on the droneship 'Of Course I Still Love You'?

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Resolved: No
Results Aug 6YES if an official mandatory evacuation order (an explicit command telling residents to leave an inhabited area) was issued for any inhabited locality on the island of Gran Canaria with an effective time between 00:00 and 23:59:59 on August 5, 2026 (UTC+2) by any municipal, insular (Cabildo), regional (Gobierno de Canarias) or national emergency authority. Voluntary or advisory recommendations, orders affecting only uninhabited land, and temporary facility closures that do not direct residents to evacuate do not count; if an order is issued and later rescinded the same day it still counts as YES. Resolution will be based on official communications from the Cabildo de Gran Canaria, the relevant municipal or regional government, or national emergency authorities, with corroborating reporting from national or regional outlets as needed.
How markets are built and settled40%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 60% sure, and they nailed it.
Given the imminent threat of extreme heat and ongoing conditions, it's likely that an evacuation order will be issued in Gran Canaria by tomorrow. The authorities are proactive in such situations.

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