Will “Toy Story 5” gross over $250 million worldwide by August 31, 2026?

92%
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34%
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Resolved: No
Results Jul 21YES if Box Office Mojo's weekend chart for Jul 17–19, 2026 lists at least one of these films — Obsession, Supergirl, Disclosure Day, Backrooms, or Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity Sex Pass — at rank 1, 2, 3, 4, or 5. A tie for any top-5 rank that includes one of these films counts as a top-5 finish. If Box Office Mojo has not published the 2026W29 weekend chart by 12:00 PM on July 21, 2026, the market will be resolved using Box Office Mojo's first official published weekend chart for 2026W29 once it is posted.
How markets are built and settled34%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 66% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: At least one of {Obsession; Supergirl; Disclosure Day; Backrooms; Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity Sex Pass} must appear at Rank 1–5 on Box Office Mojo's Weekend Chart for 2026W29 (Jul 17–19, 2026). Target window/instant: the Jul 17–19, 2026 weekend chart. Observed values from Box Office Mojo (2026W29 weekend chart for Jul 17–19, 2026): Rank 1 = The Odyssey; Rank 2 = Moana; Rank 3 = Minions & Monsters; Rank 4 = Toy Story 5; Rank 5 = Evil Dead Burn. Observed ranks of the specified films: Obsession = Rank 8; Supergirl = Rank 9; Disclosure Day = Rank 10; Backrooms = Rank 11; Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity Sex Pass = Rank 15. Comparison: none of the listed films appear at ranks 1–5 (no top-5 ties include any of them). Therefore the market resolves NO.
Source: boxofficemojo.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledhonestly, i doubt any of these flicks will turn it around. supergirl might have a shot, but the rest? sounds like a snooze fest. 🎬

92%
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83%
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77%
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