🕹️Culture·GamingCloses Oct 8 · Results Oct 9
Will Dragon’s Dogma 2: Dark Arisen be released on 9 October 2026 on PC, PS5, Xbox Series X/S and Nintendo Switch 2?
93%
+4% last 24h
204 bets · 8.7K credits5
Details →
CultureOpened Aug 3 · Results Aug 5
Will any entertainment, celebrity and gaming topic in Spain be googled more than Glen Hansard on August 4?
82%
Stable · last 24h
📊 54 bettors💎 1.3K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Aug 5🤖 Context
YES if Google Trends' Spain trending-searches feed shows at least one topic classified as Entertainment, celebrity and gaming that started trending on the UTC day August 4, 2026 and has a reported search-volume index strictly greater than 50,000. Otherwise NO. Counting follows Google's convention that a topic counts for the UTC day it started trending.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No82%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 82% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Extracted condition: At least one topic classified in Google Trends Spain as 'Entertainment, celebrity and gaming' that STARTED trending on UTC day 2026-08-04 has reported search-volume index strictly greater than 50,000. Target day: 2026-08-04 (UTC). Observations (Google Trends 168-hour archive, observed 2026-08-05 01:00 UTC, covering 2026-08-04): 'entertainment, celebrity and gaming topics that started trending that day: 36' and the explicit threshold counts include 'more than 50,000 searches: 0 topic(s)'. The biggest single entertainment topic that day was 'pilar rubio' at 20,000 searches. Comparison: 0 topics exceed 50,000, so the condition is not met. Therefore outcome = NO.
Source: trends.google.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 82%
- Predictions made
- 54
- Credits staked
- 1,255
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Aug 3, 2026
- Closes
- Aug 4, 2026
- Resolved
- Aug 5, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- trends.google.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠
With only hours left, it's unlikely that a topic will start trending tomorrow with over 50,000 searches. The recent activity shows a downward trend, so I'm betting NO.
Related predictions
See all →🕹️Culture·GamingCloses Nov 19
Will GTA 6 have purchasable in-game microtransactions at launch on November 19?
39%
Stable · last 24h
3697 bets · 148.7K credits38
Details →🕹️Culture·GamingCloses Oct 30 · Results Oct 31
Will a specific existing The Legend of Zelda game be named for a 40th‑anniversary remake?
94%
Stable · last 24h
914 bets · 24.9K credits13
Details →🕹️Culture·GamingCloses Oct 31 · Results Dec 1
Will Microsoft announce a per-account monthly hours limit for Game Pass cloud streaming?
58%
+1% last 24h
817 bets · 20.2K credits10
Details →🕹️Culture·GamingCloses Nov 18 · Results Nov 20
Will Grand Theft Auto 6 be released and playable on both PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X|S on November 19?
95%
Stable · last 24h
750 bets · 24.7K credits10
Details →🕹️Culture·GamingCloses Oct 30 · Results Nov 1
Will a video game based on the 1978 film 'Halloween' be commercially released?
91%
Stable · last 24h
681 bets · 17K credits8
Details →