Will at least one bank headquartered in Iran be newly sanctioned by the U.S.?

78%
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46%
-4% last 24h
YES if no later than December 31, 2026, at least one local authority in England has formally approved the introduction of a tourist levy on overnight stays that is explicitly expressed as a percentage rate and whose percentage is strictly greater than 5%. Formal approval means a recorded council vote, a cabinet decision, a statutory instrument, or published council minutes or a press release. Credible reporting of such a formal approval by two or more independent authoritative news outlets, for example BBC News plus another national or regional outlet, is also sufficient to resolve YES. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Dec 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Jan 2, 2027. The outcome will be settled against bbc.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 46%, based on 1 prediction.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the growing interest in tourist levies, especially in tourist-heavy areas, I expect at least one authority will approve a rate above 5% before the deadline. It's a matter of when, not if.

78%
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63%
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37%
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74%
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45%
Stable · last 24h

57%
Stable · last 24h
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