Will any area in Spain have an 'aviso naranja' (orange warning) or 'aviso rojo' (red warning) for extreme heat on August 19?

🤖 Context

YES if AEMET's Meteoalerta archive for August 19, 2026 records at least one area in Spain with an 'aviso naranja' or 'aviso rojo' for the hazard 'Temperaturas extremas' at any time during that Spain-local calendar day. Otherwise NO. A combined AEMET warning counts only if the warning text explicitly names 'temperaturas' or an unambiguous equivalent. Independent confirmation from major Spanish news outlets is acceptable.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 18, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 20, 2026. The outcome will be settled against aemet.es. For now, the crowd puts YES at 83%, based on 23 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

83%

Predictions made

23

Credits staked

741

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 18, 2026

Closes

Aug 18, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 20, 2026

Resolution source

aemet.es

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 18, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 20, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 83% and NO 17%, based on 23 predictions and 741 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against aemet.es once the outcome is known.

Is “Will any area in Spain have an 'aviso naranja' (orange warning) or 'aviso rojo' (red warning) for extreme heat on August 19?” real-money betting?

No. “Will any area in Spain have an 'aviso naranja' (orange warning) or 'aviso rojo' (red warning) for extreme heat on August 19?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.