Will any area in Spain be under an 'aviso naranja' (orange alert) or 'aviso rojo' (red alert) for thunderstorms on August 14?

🤖 Context

YES if AEMET's official Meteoalerta archived warnings show at least one area in Spain was issued an 'aviso naranja' (orange alert) or an 'aviso rojo' (red alert) for thunderstorms at any time on 14 August 2026 (CEST / UTC+02:00). NO otherwise. Only 'aviso' warnings issued for the hazard 'thunderstorms' count. Reputable Spanish media that directly quote AEMET are also acceptable evidence.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 13, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 15, 2026. The outcome will be settled against aemet.es. For now, the crowd puts YES at 50%, based on 9 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

50%

Predictions made

9

Credits staked

210

Comments

0

Opened

Aug 13, 2026

Closes

Aug 13, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 15, 2026

Resolution source

aemet.es

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 13, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 15, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 50% and NO 50%, based on 9 predictions and 210 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against aemet.es once the outcome is known.

Is “Will any area in Spain be under an 'aviso naranja' (orange alert) or 'aviso rojo' (red alert) for thunderstorms on August 14?” real-money betting?

No. “Will any area in Spain be under an 'aviso naranja' (orange alert) or 'aviso rojo' (red alert) for thunderstorms on August 14?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.