Will any area in Spain be under an 'aviso naranja' or 'aviso rojo' (orange or red warning) for thunderstorms on 15 August?

🤖 Context

YES if AEMET's Meteoalerta archived warnings for 15 August 2026 (Spain local date) show at least one warning area in Spain at colour level 'naranja' or 'rojo' for thunderstorms at any time during that date, otherwise NO. If AEMET published a combined warning that includes storms (for example 'lluvias y tormentas') shown at 'naranja' or 'rojo', count that as YES. Corroborating reports from major Spanish news outlets that plainly reproduce AEMET's warnings are acceptable.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 14, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against aemet.es. For now, the crowd puts YES at 67%, based on 5 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

67%

Predictions made

5

Credits staked

90

Comments

0

Opened

Aug 14, 2026

Closes

Aug 14, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 16, 2026

Resolution source

aemet.es

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 14, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 16, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 67% and NO 33%, based on 5 predictions and 90 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against aemet.es once the outcome is known.

Is “Will any area in Spain be under an 'aviso naranja' or 'aviso rojo' (orange or red warning) for thunderstorms on 15 August?” real-money betting?

No. “Will any area in Spain be under an 'aviso naranja' or 'aviso rojo' (orange or red warning) for thunderstorms on 15 August?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.