Will any area in Spain be put on 'aviso naranja' or 'aviso rojo' (orange/red heat warning) on August 27?

🤖 Context

YES if AEMET's Meteoalerta archived warnings for August 27, 2026 show at least one area in Spain with 'aviso nivel naranja' or 'aviso nivel rojo' specifically for extreme high temperatures at any time during that day, otherwise NO. Warnings that span midnight count if any portion covers August 27. Only warnings explicitly for heat/temperature count, not other hazards. Resolution source: AEMET (Agencia Estatal de Meteorología).

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 26, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 28, 2026. The outcome will be settled against aemet.es. For now, the crowd puts YES at 62%, based on 47 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

62%

Predictions made

47

Credits staked

1,346

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 26, 2026

Closes

Aug 26, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 28, 2026

Resolution source

aemet.es

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 26, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 28, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 62% and NO 38%, based on 47 predictions and 1.3K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against aemet.es once the outcome is known.

Is “Will any area in Spain be put on 'aviso naranja' or 'aviso rojo' (orange/red heat warning) on August 27?” real-money betting?

No. “Will any area in Spain be put on 'aviso naranja' or 'aviso rojo' (orange/red heat warning) on August 27?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.