Will Amazon Leo have 400 or more satellites in orbit by Aug 31, 2026?

64%
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41%
Stable · last 24h
YES if AEMET's official Meteoalerta archived warnings for 29 August 2026 show at least one "aviso naranja" (orange alert) or "aviso rojo" (red alert) explicitly for the hazard labeled "Rissagas" for any area in Spain at any time on 29 August 2026. Otherwise NO. The authoritative source is AEMET's Meteoalerta archived warnings for 29 August 2026.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 28, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 30, 2026. The outcome will be settled against aemet.es. For now, the crowd puts YES at 41%, based on 9 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledIt's likely we'll see at least one aviso naranja for Rissagas tomorrow; AEMET has already indicated a peak forecast at that level for Menorca. Not looking like a stretch.

64%
-1% last 24h

31%
Stable · last 24h

69%
Stable · last 24h

75%
Stable · last 24h

57%
+15% last 24h

28%
Stable · last 24h
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