Will any area in Spain be put on AEMET 'aviso naranja' or 'aviso rojo' (orange or red alert) for extreme heat on 3 September?

🤖 Context

YES if, according to AEMET's Meteoalerta archived warnings for 3 September 2026, at least one AEMET-defined area in Spain was assigned 'aviso naranja' or 'aviso rojo' for extreme high temperatures at any time between 00:00 and 23:59 local time on 3 September 2026, otherwise NO. If AEMET uses a different hazard label that its classification treats as the same extreme-high-temperatures phenomenon, that label counts. Warnings for other hazards do not count, and any listed sub-area at naranja or rojo counts. The resolution source is AEMET's Meteoalerta archive.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 2, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 4, 2026. The outcome will be settled against aemet.es. For now, the crowd puts YES at 79%, based on 26 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

79%

Predictions made

26

Credits staked

981

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 2, 2026

Closes

Sep 2, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 4, 2026

Resolution source

aemet.es

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 2, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 4, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 79% and NO 21%, based on 26 predictions and 981 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against aemet.es once the outcome is known.

Is “Will any area in Spain be put on AEMET 'aviso naranja' or 'aviso rojo' (orange or red alert) for extreme heat on 3 September?” real-money betting?

No. “Will any area in Spain be put on AEMET 'aviso naranja' or 'aviso rojo' (orange or red alert) for extreme heat on 3 September?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.