Will any area in Spain be on orange or red alert for rain on 16 September?

🤖 Context

YES if AEMET's archived Meteoalerta warnings for 16 September 2026 list at least one area in Spain (including the Canary and Balearic Islands, Ceuta and Melilla) at aviso naranja (orange) or aviso rojo (red) for rain at any time during that calendar date in Spain. Only warnings specifically for rain/lluvias count; amarillo (yellow) or warnings for other hazards do not qualify. The market is decided using AEMET's archived warnings for 16 September 2026, though equivalent reputable contemporary reporting that explicitly names the affected areas is also acceptable.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 15, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 17, 2026. The outcome will be settled against aemet.es. For now, the crowd puts YES at 60%, based on 26 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

60%

Predictions made

26

Credits staked

1,045

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 15, 2026

Closes

Sep 15, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 17, 2026

Resolution source

aemet.es

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 15, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 17, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 60% and NO 40%, based on 26 predictions and 1K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against aemet.es once the outcome is known.

Is “Will any area in Spain be on orange or red alert for rain on 16 September?” real-money betting?

No. “Will any area in Spain be on orange or red alert for rain on 16 September?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.