Will at least one location in mainland Spain see totality during the August 12, 2026 total solar eclipse?

93%
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31%
Stable · last 24h
YES if, between August 7, 2026 and no later than August 10, 2026, a municipal or state government or Protección Civil publicly issues an official mandatory evacuation order for any municipality or named population center in Nayarit or Jalisco and the order cites heavy rains, flooding, or storm conditions as the reason. Preferred authoritative evidence is an official press release or bulletin posted on the issuing authority's official website or an official Protección Civil bulletin, or a major Mexican news outlet quoting that official document. If not, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the current storm conditions, it's likely we'll see mandatory evacuations in Jalisco or Nayarit within the next few days. Authorities usually act swiftly in these scenarios to protect residents.

93%
+1% last 24h

31%
Stable · last 24h

74%
Stable · last 24h

31%
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63%
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46%
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