Will the Soyuz 2.1b carrying Progress MS‑35 lift off from Baikonur Site 31/6 on September 9?

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Resolved: No
Results Jul 26YES if AEMET's official 'Avisos por fenómenos adversos' page on AEMET's website or AEMET's official daily bulletin for July 25, 2026 shows at any time during July 25, 2026 (00:00 to 23:59:59 CEST) at least one province in the autonomous community of Andalucía marked with the colour 'rojo' for heat, otherwise NO. If AEMET does not publish warnings for that date on its website, the market will resolve using AEMET's official PDF bulletin or press release for July 25, 2026 published on AEMET's website. If AEMET publishes conflicting official records for that date, the version on AEMET's website with the latest server timestamp on or before the resolution date will be used.
How markets are built and settled20%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 80% sure, and they nailed it.
oh yeah, get ready for the sizzle! with climate change heating things up, an alert is practically a guarantee! 🔥

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85%
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80%
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80%
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