Will Japan have an earthquake of magnitude 4.9 or higher?

24%
Stable · last 24h

54%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: No
Results Jul 26YES if the Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) official daily station observations (the AEMET "valores extremos" daily observations table published on aemet.es) for July 25, 2026 show at least one AEMET‑operated station in Andalucía or Castilla‑La Mancha with a reported maximum temperature of at least 44.0 °C, otherwise NO. Values published on aemet.es by 9:00 CEST on July 26, 2026 will be used. If AEMET has not published daily observations for July 25 by that time, the official AEMET machine‑readable observations feed on aemet.es for that date as published by 9:00 CEST on July 26, 2026 will be used.
How markets are built and settled54%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 54% sure, and they got it wrong.
oh yeah, it's gonna be a scorcher! 44° in the summer? that's practically a guarantee in Spain 😂

24%
Stable · last 24h

35%
+1% last 24h

58%
-2% last 24h

77%
+1% last 24h

50%
-4% last 24h

61%
-1% last 24h
Cookies on Clutch
We use cookies to measure how Clutch is used and to show ads. Nothing is tracked until you choose. Privacy Policy