Will Anthropic's OpenRouter market share be above 3.0%?

🤖 Context

YES if OpenRouter's "AI Market Share" value for the model author Anthropic is greater than 3.0% for the week of August 31, 2026, using the OpenRouter rankings as updated at 10:00 AM ET on the Monday update for that week. If OpenRouter lists Anthropic under "Others" or does not identify Anthropic separately, the market resolves NO. This mirror market resolves identically to Kalshi's ticker KXANTHSHARE-26SEP07-3.0 and is final only when Kalshi marks that ticker as finalized.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 7, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 7, 2026. The outcome will be settled against kalshi.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 66%, based on 19 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

66%

Predictions made

19

Credits staked

850

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 4, 2026

Closes

Sep 7, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 7, 2026

Resolution source

kalshi.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 7, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 7, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 66% and NO 34%, based on 19 predictions and 850 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against kalshi.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Anthropic's OpenRouter market share be above 3.0%?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Anthropic's OpenRouter market share be above 3.0%?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.