Will Anthropic's market share be above 2.95%?

🤖 Context

Resolves YES if Kalshi finalizes the ticker KXANTHSHARE-26SEP14-2.95 with an official YES. Kalshi will base its determination on OpenRouter's published "text market share" by model author for the week of September 8, 2026, using OpenRouter's Monday update at 10:00 AM ET for that week. Anthropic's share must be strictly greater than 2.95% to resolve YES, and if OpenRouter's week-of-September 8, 2026 chart does not separately identify "Anthropic" (for example if it is grouped into "Others") the contract resolves NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 14, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 14, 2026. The outcome will be settled against kalshi.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 38%, based on 39 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

38%

Predictions made

39

Credits staked

1,264

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 9, 2026

Closes

Sep 14, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 14, 2026

Resolution source

kalshi.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 14, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 14, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 38% and NO 62%, based on 39 predictions and 1.3K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against kalshi.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Anthropic's market share be above 2.95%?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Anthropic's market share be above 2.95%?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.