🏢Tech·Big TechCloses Sep 7
Will DeepSeek's market share be above 23.5%?

41%
Stable · last 24h
96 bets · 2.6K credits1
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44%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: No
Results Aug 1YES if by 23:59 UTC on July 31 2026, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit issues a ruling rejecting Anthropic’s appeal against its federal designation as a “supply chain risk”; NO if the court issues a ruling overturning or vacating the designation, or fails to rule by that time.
How markets are built and settled44%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 56% sure, and they nailed it.
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41%
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39%
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77%
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86%
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87%
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