Will Anthropic release a new Mythos-class model?

🤖 Context

YES if Anthropic publicly releases a model it classifies as part of its Mythos tier no later than 03:59 on September 1, 2026. Public releases exclude closed betas and include models branded "Mythos" or "Fable", and releases limited to an expensive subscription still count, but Claude Fable 5 (released June 9, 2026) does not. This market resolves according to Kalshi's official settlement.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 1, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against kalshi.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 35%, based on 44 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

35%

Predictions made

44

Credits staked

890

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 23, 2026

Closes

Sep 1, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 1, 2026

Resolution source

kalshi.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 1, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 1, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 35% and NO 65%, based on 44 predictions and 890 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against kalshi.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Anthropic release a new Mythos-class model?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Anthropic release a new Mythos-class model?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.