Will Anthropic release a new Mythos-class model?

🤖 Context

YES if Kalshi's market for ticker KXCLAUDE-NXTMYTH is marked finalized with an official settlement of YES, meaning Kalshi has determined Anthropic publicly released a model under its Mythos tier that was publicly available no later than 03:59 on September 1, 2026. Mythos-tier includes models branded "Mythos" or "Fable" but excludes Claude Fable 5. Public availability excludes closed betas, and releases limited to a paid or high-cost subscription tier do qualify. Otherwise NO, per Kalshi's final settlement corroborated by Anthropic's public announcements or independent reputable reporting.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 1, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against kalshi.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 39%, based on 21 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

39%

Predictions made

21

Credits staked

611

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 15, 2026

Closes

Sep 1, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 1, 2026

Resolution source

kalshi.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 1, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 1, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 39% and NO 61%, based on 21 predictions and 611 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against kalshi.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Anthropic release a new Mythos-class model?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Anthropic release a new Mythos-class model?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.