🏢Tech·Big TechCloses Sep 14
Will Anthropic's market share be above 2.6%?
56%
Stable · last 24h
98 bets · 2.7K credits1
Details →
TechOpened Jul 28 · Results Aug 16
Will Anthropic publish an official website notice saying some shared Claude chats or Artifacts were indexed and discoverable on Google before Aug 15, 2026?
50%
Stable · last 24h
📊 14 bettors💎 241 at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 16🤖 Context
This market required Anthropic's official website, such as its blog, status, or support pages, to publish a public notice saying that one or more shared Claude chats or Artifacts were indexed by Google Search and were discoverable in Google Search results. Multiple independent news outlets including TechCrunch, Fortune, the BBC, Axios and Malwarebytes published reports on July 27 and 28, 2026 stating that shared Claude chats and/or Claude Artifacts had been indexed by Google and were discoverable, and they reported that a public notice about this existed on Anthropic's official site. Because that public notice existed before August 15, 2026, the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes50%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 50% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Multiple independent, credible news outlets in the supplied evidence (TechCrunch, Fortune, BBC, Axios, Malwarebytes, among others) published public notices stating that shared Claude chats and/or Claude Artifacts had been indexed by Google and were discoverable in Google search results (e.g., via site-specific queries). These reports are dated July 27–28, 2026, establishing that such a public notice existed well before 2026-08-15.
Source: techcrunch.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 50%
- Predictions made
- 14
- Credits staked
- 241
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Jul 28, 2026
- Closes
- Aug 15, 2026
- Resolved
- Aug 16, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- techcrunch.com, fortune.com, bbc.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet No· 1 💎
nah, i doubt anthropic will own up to that. they’d rather hide under a rock than admit chats got indexed 😂
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