Will Israel and Hamas publicly agree to a ceasefire with a stated start time?

10%
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61%
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YES if, no later than August 28, 2026, two or more independent reputable news outlets report that the Government of Spain has formally designated Ángel Víctor Torres as coordinator of the work of all ministries involved in the Ceuta crisis, or if the Government/Moncloa publishes a press release naming him as coordinator. Reports that only say he is expected to be designated or that discuss intentions without confirming a formal designation do not qualify. If reports explicitly show the Government designated a different person, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 28, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 29, 2026. The outcome will be settled against efe.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 61%, based on 1 prediction.
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10%
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75%
Stable · last 24h

74%
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60%
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54%
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38%
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