🏛️Politics
Closes Aug 15 · Results Aug 16
Will the US publicly say it carried out a strike inside Iran or on Iranian government facilities by 12:00 PM on August 16, 2026 (Eastern US time)?
25%
-2% last 24h
2091 bets · 44.6K credits6
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PoliticsResults Jul 22
Will Andy Biggs win the Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary on July 21, 2026?
43%
Stable · last 24h
📊 9 bettors💎 194 at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Jul 22🤖 Context
This market will resolve to 'YES' if Andy Biggs wins the Republican gubernatorial primary in Arizona on July 21, 2026, and to 'NO' if he does not.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes43%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 57% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Multiple reputable, contemporaneous sources in the supplied evidence report that Andy Biggs won the Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary held July 21, 2026. News outlets and result trackers (AP via PBS, Politico, NBC News, Washington Post, KJZZ, etc.) published race calls and vote totals showing Biggs as the GOP nominee.
Source: pbs.orgKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 43%
- Predictions made
- 9
- Credits staked
- 194
- Comments
- 0
- Opened
- Jun 28, 2026
- Closes
- Jul 21, 2026
- Resolved
- Jul 22, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- pbs.org, politico.com, nbcnews.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 0 comments
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