Will Carlos Alcaraz win the US Open men's singles?

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Resolved: No
Results Jul 31YES if the Federazione Italiana Giuoco Calcio (FIGC) publishes an official press release or news item on its official website on or before 23:59 on July 31, 2026 explicitly stating that Andrea Pirlo has been appointed head coach of the Italy men's senior national team. Otherwise NO. If the FIGC only reports an agreement in principle or says a presentation will occur later without stating the appointment is effective by that date, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settled34%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 66% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Multiple independent news outlets in the supplied evidence report that Andrea Pirlo was not appointed and that Roberto Mancini was announced as Italy’s men’s head coach on July 28, 2026. CNN (published 2026-07-28) and ESPN (2026-07-28) state Malagò announced Mancini and that Pirlo had been dropped amid controversy; Front Row Soccer (2026-07-28) likewise reports Mancini named. French outlets in the pool (Ouest-France, Le Parisien) also report Pirlo is no longer a candidate. Earlier reports (e.g. Fox Sports, 24 July) that Pirlo was set to be named were superseded by the later coverage showing he was not appointed. On the balance of the supplied, dated reporting, Andrea Pirlo had not been appointed by 2026-07-31 23:59.
Source: cnn.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledWhat a turnaround!
It's Mancini who takes over the Italian national team!!
no way, FIGC loves drama. they'll keep us guessing until the last minute. better luck next time, Andrea! 😂

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