Will Mercedes finish 1–2 at the Spanish Grand Prix in Madrid?

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YES if the FIA's official World Drivers' Championship standings published as the first official standings update after the Spanish Grand Prix, after the race on 13 September 2026 and after any post-race steward decisions, list Andrea Kimi Antonelli first by total points. Otherwise NO. The FIA's official standings or Formula1.com will be used to determine the result, with major motorsport outlets acceptable for corroboration.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 13, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 13, 2026. The outcome will be settled against espn.com.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 94%, based on 119 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith only four days to go, Antonelli has a strong chance to claim the top spot, especially if he performs well in Spain. Watch out for post-race decisions impacting the standings.

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89%
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