Will the #1 show on Netflix have at least 15 million views?

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YES if, no later than October 31, 2026, Nintendo or the adaptation's official rights‑holder publicly publishes an audiovisual promotional video that the rights‑holder explicitly describes as an "official trailer" or "official teaser" for the live‑action The Legend of Zelda adaptation. Evidence must be an item on the rights‑holder's official website, a publication on an official channel, for example an official YouTube upload, or an official press release, and major outlets reporting and linking to the trailer are also admissible. Fan videos, unauthorized leaks, or short social‑media clips not designated by the rights‑holder as an official trailer do not count, otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 30, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 31, 2026. The outcome will be settled against efe.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 94%, based on 165 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the buzz around Nintendo's upcoming adaptations, it's likely they'll drop an official trailer before the deadline. Mark your calendars for a reveal.

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49%
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84%
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60%
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29%
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70%
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