Will an earthquake of magnitude 5.7 or greater occur in Indonesia?

🤖 Context

YES if the USGS earthquake catalog lists at least one earthquake with reported magnitude (USGS "mag") of 5.7 or greater that occurred in Indonesia on or after August 8, 2026 and no later than August 10, 2026. The USGS event's preferred reported magnitude is used. Count events only if the USGS event record lists them as occurring in Indonesia, including offshore events recorded as in Indonesia. Events removed from the USGS catalog prior to resolution do not count. Otherwise NO.

Key facts

Crowd probability

13%

Predictions made

84

Credits staked

2,654

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 7, 2026

Closes

Aug 8, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 11, 2026

Resolution source

earthquake.usgs.gov