Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

93%
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64%
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YES if the best-finishing Aston Martin is placed in a better (numerically lower) position than the best-finishing Cadillac in the official FIA final race classification for the Heineken Dutch Grand Prix, the full race held on August 23, 2026, otherwise NO. Use the official FIA race classification and Formula1.com official results as primary sources, with mainstream outlets acceptable for corroboration. If both teams have no classified finishers, or if the race is cancelled, not run, or awards no championship points, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 23, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 23, 2026. The outcome will be settled against espn.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 64%, based on 35 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledI'm betting on the Aston Martin here. They've shown strong performance lately, and the competition from Cadillac just doesn't seem as fierce this season.

93%
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56%
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38%
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69%
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67%
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78%
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