Will TikTok publicly admit it deliberately excluded about 15 million accounts from the safer-algorithm update?

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YES if the New South Wales Local Court, at the hearing held on September 1, 2026 (Australia/Sydney local date), issues any Apprehended Violence Order (interim, temporary, or final) that names Nathan Gallagher as the respondent. That AVO must be demonstrable in the court's written order or registry entry or in contemporaneous reporting that explicitly states an AVO was granted on that date. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against pagesix.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 41%, based on 6 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the timeline and the nature of these cases, it's unlikely an AVO will be issued on September 1. The court usually needs time for deliberation, especially for high-profile matters.

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