🚀Science·SpaceCloses Sep 30 · Results Oct 1
Will Sophie Adenot return to Earth inside a SpaceX Crew Dragon capsule?
60%
Stable · last 24h
163 bets · 4.6K credits1
Details →
ScienceOpened Jul 23 · Results Aug 16
Will Amazon's Kuiper have 400 or more satellites in orbit by August 15, 2026?
49%
Stable · last 24h
📊 380 bettors💎 9.1K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Aug 16🤖 Context
YES if the Union of Concerned Scientists Satellite Database snapshot published on or immediately after August 15, 2026 contains 400 or more entries whose Owner/Operator field (ORGANIZATION or OWNER column) contains the string "Amazon" or "Kuiper", case-insensitive. If the UCS database is temporarily unavailable to automated checks at resolution time, the resolver will instead use Celestrak operator listings and count satellites whose operator contains "Amazon" or "Kuiper". Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No49%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 51% sure, and they nailed it.
Key facts
- Crowd probability
- 49%
- Predictions made
- 380
- Credits staked
- 9,123
- Comments
- 6
- Opened
- Jul 23, 2026
- Closes
- Aug 14, 2026
- Resolved
- Aug 18, 2026
- Outcome
- No
💬 6 comments
- 🔥@dq.goat🥈Bet No· 50 💎
Just give us the result already, we're at 17.
- 🔥@esteban.edge💠Bet Yes· 20 💎
I think so
- 🪙@neptune.king🥇Bet No· 25 💎
Not always
- 🪙@neptune.king🥇Bet No· 25 💎
No
- 🪙@humberto.pro🥉Bet No· 10 💎
I wonder why so many satellites are being sent when some say that the orbit around the Earth is saturated...
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