Will Iran publicly accept the U.S. response to its latest offer to end the war?

12%
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41%
Stable · last 24h
YES if, no later than October 31, 2026, all three unions representing Glasgow City Council staff publicly announce they will hold a membership ballot on the council's pay offer. Public announcements include explicit union press releases or equivalent, and for settlement credible reporting by two or more independent UK news outlets confirming the unions' formal decision to ballot is sufficient, and statements that a union is only 'considering' or 'exploring' a ballot do not count. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against bbc.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 41%, based on 433 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the current climate and recent negotiations, I think all three unions will ultimately decide to ballot their members. Expect pressure to mount for a clear stance on pay.

12%
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60%
-7% last 24h

40%
Stable · last 24h

64%
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11%
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46%
Stable · last 24h
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