Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

28%
+5% last 24h

86%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 15The market required Alexandra Eala to be recorded as the official winner of the Round of 64 match against Ruse for it to resolve yes. The official match record has been finalized and lists Alexandra Eala as the winner. Because the official result records Eala as the match winner, the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settled86%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 86% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: The market resolves YES only if Kalshi ticker KXWTAMATCH-26AUG15EALRUS-EAL shows Official status = "finalized" and Official finalized result = "YES" (which per the primary rule corresponds to Alexandra Eala being the official match winner). Target: the official match result for the Eala vs Ruse Round Of 64 match (2026 WTA Cincinnati) as recorded by that Kalshi ticker. Observations from supplied data: Kalshi ticker KXWTAMATCH-26AUG15EALRUS-EAL — Official status: finalized; Official finalized result: YES. Comparison: both required conditions are satisfied (ticker is finalized and the finalized result is YES), so the market outcome is YES. The supplied data does not state the match date itself, so decisiveEvidenceDate is left null.
Source: kalshi.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledEala has a solid chance here; her recent form shows she can take on tough opponents. If she plays up to her potential, I expect her to win against Ruse.

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Stable · last 24h

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