Will Ahyi Seamount reach "WATCH" (heightened alert) or higher?

🤖 Context

YES if the USGS Volcano Hazards Program records Ahyi Seamount's Volcano Alert Level as "WATCH" (heightened alert) or "WARNING" (top alert, eruption imminent) at any time on or after 00:00 on August 9, 2026 and no later than 00:00 on August 12, 2026. Otherwise NO. Resolution source: the USGS Volcano Hazards Program.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 9, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 12, 2026. The outcome will be settled against usgs.gov. For now, the crowd puts YES at 34%, based on 12 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

34%

Predictions made

12

Credits staked

259

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 8, 2026

Closes

Aug 9, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 12, 2026

Resolution source

usgs.gov

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 9, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 12, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 34% and NO 66%, based on 12 predictions and 259 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against usgs.gov once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Ahyi Seamount reach "WATCH" (heightened alert) or higher?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Ahyi Seamount reach "WATCH" (heightened alert) or higher?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.