Will Google have over 21% market share?

40%
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40%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 1The rule required that by 11:59 PM Eastern Time on August 31, 2026, both the Apple App Store US storefront and the Google Play Store each display a publicly accessible app listing reachable from within the United States for an app whose title or developer name contains the string 'Acti' (case-insensitive) on their official web listing pages. The official store pages provided show an app titled "Acti: Agentic Keyboard" on the Apple App Store US storefront and the Google Play Store, and the Google Play listing shows an update timestamp of August 28, 2026. Because both stores displayed a publicly reachable US listing for an app with 'Acti' in its title by the deadline, the condition is met, so the market resolves to yes.
How markets are built and settled40%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 60% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: The supplied store pages show an app titled “Acti: Agentic Keyboard” on both platforms. The Apple App Store US storefront page for the app (apps.apple.com/us/6745523677...) is present in the evidence, and the Google Play listing (play.google.com store id=ltd.xyzer.app.bongocat) displays the same “Acti” app and shows an update timestamp of Aug 28, 2026. Both listings therefore existed and were publicly reachable from the United States by the end of Aug 31, 2026.
Source: apps.apple.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledacti better get their act together before 2026! they can't keep us waiting forever! 😂

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70%
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56%
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44%
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21%
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83%
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