Will the birth of a child to Lady Gaga and Michael Polansky be publicly confirmed?

69%
-12% last 24h

38%
Stable · last 24h
YES if no later than November 1, 2026 the event organiser (Ibai Llanos) or the official La Velada event page or official ticketing page publishes a fight card or event announcement that lists 'Abby vs RoRo' as a scheduled fight, or if those official pages do not list it then at least two independent major Spanish sports or national news outlets (for example Marca, AS, El País, RTVE Deportes, El Mundo) report that 'Abby vs RoRo' is on the official fight card. Public social‑media rumours, single fan pages, or single low‑reliability reports do not qualify. If the fight is publicly listed on or before the deadline but is later cancelled before the deadline, the market still resolves YES. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 24, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against huffingtonpost.es. For now, the crowd puts YES at 38%, based on 413 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the timeframe and the event organizer's reputation, it's likely we'll see 'Abby vs RoRo' officially announced. Major outlets will likely cover it, too.

69%
-12% last 24h

40%
Stable · last 24h

86%
Stable · last 24h

53%
Stable · last 24h

20%
+1% last 24h

85%
Stable · last 24h
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