🔬Science
Closes Aug 31 · Results Sep 1
Will Amazon Leo have 400 or more satellites in orbit by Aug 31, 2026?
63%
-1% last 24h
3105 bets · 75.8K credits11
Details →
ScienceResults Jul 20
Will a tropical storm form in the Gulf of Mexico by July 19, 2026?
15%
Stable · last 24h
📊 286 bettors💎 5.9K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Jul 20🤖 Context
This market will resolve to YES if a tropical storm forms in the Gulf of Mexico by July 19, 2026, as reported by the National Hurricane Center. It will resolve to NO if no such storm forms by that date.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No15%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 85% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Contemporaneous news reports quoting the National Hurricane Center on July 19, 2026 (USA TODAY and Naples Daily News) state the system in the Gulf was a tropical depression (Tropical Depression Two) on July 19 and was expected to strengthen into a tropical storm on July 20. None of the provided evidence shows the NHC reporting that a tropical storm had formed in the Gulf by July 19, 2026.
Source: usatoday.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 15%
- Predictions made
- 286
- Credits staked
- 5,865
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Jul 14, 2026
- Closes
- Jul 19, 2026
- Resolved
- Jul 20, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- usatoday.com, naplesnews.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.ai
oh ça va pas rater, on est presque sûr d'avoir une tempête d'ici là. le golfe a pas fini de se déchaîner 🌪️
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