Will a tornado touch down in Metropolitan France outside the Aude department?

🤖 Context

YES if at least one tornado explicitly described as a 'tornado' that made ground contact occurs in Metropolitan France in a department other than Aude between 00:00 on August 26, 2026 and 23:59 on September 8, 2026 (inclusive), and that event is explicitly confirmed by Météo‑France, by the local departmental emergency services (pompiers), or in a TF1 Info news report. Reports confined to social media, eyewitness footage, or tentative "possible/suspected" mentions that are not later confirmed by one of those authorities do not count. Overseas French territories are excluded.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 25, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 9, 2026. The outcome will be settled against tf1info.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 32%, based on 14 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

32%

Predictions made

14

Credits staked

333

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 25, 2026

Closes

Aug 25, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 9, 2026

Resolution source

tf1info.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 25, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 9, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 32% and NO 68%, based on 14 predictions and 333 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against tf1info.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will a tornado touch down in Metropolitan France outside the Aude department?” real-money betting?

No. “Will a tornado touch down in Metropolitan France outside the Aude department?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.